Good article in Forbes on the ammunition shortage

zukiphile

New member
"In the face of increased scarcity, you would not increase runs and suppress prices."

Actually yes, you would.

If you are already running at capacity, you wouldn't go to the capital and labor expense of opening new lines unless the return justified the investment. In a period of scarcity, that expanded line will only marginally suppress pricing, and when the follow up glut develops, the ROI on your new line will plummet.
 

dogtown tom

New member
ClydeFrog ......As discussed, the overall demand for many common calibers; .22LR, .38spl, 9x19mm, .40S&W, .45acp, .223, .308(7.62mm), 7.62x39mm, etc might wind down but I doubt the sale prices will lower too.
Sure they will....if the price of gas lead and copper fall. In "non panic" times retail ammunition prices are affected more by the cost of raw materials and transportation costs than by demand. While demand for ammunition rises during hunting season.............usually you'll see ammunition sold as a LOSS LEADER (especially .22).

Ammunition is heavy and requires shipping via Ground transportation. No Flat Rate USPS boxes. Shipping costs may have the biggest impact on ammo price flunctuations.





The major ammunition firms will space it out so local gun shops & retailers can keep the prices higher.
Huh?:rolleyes:
If ammunition manufacturers colude or engage in price fixing its a pretty serious Federal crime.

The business of any business is to stay in business and make a profit for THEIR business........intentionally withholding ammunition from retailers makes how much profit for the manufacturer?...........NONE.

Any manufacturer who cannot supply enough product to the retailers at a competitive price risks losing business to the manufacturer with better pricing and available product.

Ammunition priced as a loss leader gets traffic into the store.....and those buyers often buy something else. Just as grocery stores use milk and bread as loss leaders to get you in the store.
 
"Sure they will....if the price of gas lead and copper fall."

The price will also drop if the supply begins to rise due to lesser consumer demand and especially to competition between companies/sellers for the same product or class of products.

That's simple economics.

Manufacturers and sellers both will drop prices in an attempt to shore up flagging sales.

Once again, in sales and production both, sharp sine wave cycles are bad. Steady state sales levels are what you want.
 
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